How MarketX Works
The world's most transparent prediction market.
How Trading Works
Every market has two outcomes: YES and NO.
The price represents the probability of the event happening (e.g., $0.60 = 60% chance).
You buy shares outcome you believe in.
If the event happens (YES), each share pays out $1.00.
If it doesn't (NO), YES shares expire worthless ($0.00).
Example: Buy YES at $0.60. Market resolves YES. You get $1.00. Profit = $0.40 (66% ROI).
Creating Markets
Anyone can create a market on MarketX. It's permissionless.
- Cost: Creating a market costs $10.00 USDC. This fee prevents spam and funds the initial promotion.
- AI & Socials: Our "Growth Agent" bot automatically picks up new markets, generates viral tweets using AI, and broadcasts them to X, Discord, and Telegram.
- Liquidity: Markets start with a basic pool (0.50 / 0.50). Traders provide the price discovery.
Resolution & Bonds
Optimistic Oracle System
MarketX uses a decentralized oracle (UMA) to verify outcomes. Truth is established through economic incentives.
1. Proposal & Bonds
When a market ends, anyone can propose the result by posting a Bond (collateral). If the proposal violates the rules, others can dispute it.
2. Dispute & Voting
If a result is disputed, the case goes to Token Holders who vote on the correct outcome. Voters are rewarded for being on the side of the majority consensus (truth).
3. Money Distribution
- Winning Shares: Redeemable for $1.00 each properly.
- Losing Shares: Worthless ($0.00).
- Bond Rewards: The Disputer earns the Proposer's bond if the dispute is successful. This incentivizes honesty.
Payouts & Fees
- Settlement: Once resolved, payouts are automatic. You can claim your winnings from your Portfolio.
- Platform Fee: MarketX takes a 1% fee on winnings to sustain operations and development.
- Withdrawals: You can withdraw your balance to your crypto wallet (USDC/ETH) at any time instantly via our Payram integration.